None of them were charged with false accusations, btw, but one man's life was ruined and he moved to Italy to escape it. Badly beaten up too. It makes me inclined to uphold reasonable doubt rules in my own life.
The best judge of future behaviour is past behaviour and we have the benefit of knowing what that is with our friends which we don't have with strangers. If someone is consistently honest for years, I'll believe her more than someone who consistently lies or someone I don't know
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Why do you think you're likely to be less wrong? Statistically, a few of your friends are likely dodgy; you've seen it a few times yourself. Most rapes, most child abuse, most murders, pretty much all domestic violence - committed by someone the victim trusts, often greatly.
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Of course you'd believe a consistent liar less; but statistically, strangers might actually be more trustworthy. And, of course, we're not often talking about random strangers - rather, strangers who have been vetted by a newspaper, or other members of the community, etc.
End of conversation
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