No but be sceptical of someone claiming a certain individual robbed them without evidence of this. Want a list of the things I've been accused of?
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For the purposes of discussion, assume when I compare rape to robbery I mean all things are equal (ie no reason to assume either insurance claim OR "I want to be a victim"). Also, do you have examples of people falsely claiming rape purely/primarily as a badge of status?
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This is what I mean by context tho. I'd find each of those equally believable given lack of motivation.
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But you suggested you'd trust a story from a friend substantially more than from a stranger, no? If the stories were the same, what reason would you have for that?
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Yes. Credibility built up over years of observation of her truthfulness and reasonableness. But I'd know she wasn't mentally ill or malicious or an insane ideologue which I couldn't know about a stranger. In the same way, I would get in the car of a male friend but not a stranger
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But, as I said, you already noted that you had at least one friend who was developing a mental illness. Now, the false accusation may have come after the illness was apparent to you - but surely you could imagine that order being reversed, and your friend being untrustworthy?
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Of course. I could always be wrong to trust the people I trust. But I'm likely to be less wrong than trusting people of whom I have no knowledge. People do establish credibility with their actions and there's a reason we tell kids to go in cars with certain people & not strangers
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The best judge of future behaviour is past behaviour and we have the benefit of knowing what that is with our friends which we don't have with strangers. If someone is consistently honest for years, I'll believe her more than someone who consistently lies or someone I don't know
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Why do you think you're likely to be less wrong? Statistically, a few of your friends are likely dodgy; you've seen it a few times yourself. Most rapes, most child abuse, most murders, pretty much all domestic violence - committed by someone the victim trusts, often greatly.
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