And does anyone say a lack of belief isn't the same as not believing? Usually say it's not the same as 'believing in lack of.'https://twitter.com/the_doctorv/status/892427782722138112 …
-
-
I calculate it by the infinitesimal space of possible, competing hypotheses. If we have no reason/evidence to favor one hypothesis over 1/2
-
another, then the prior probability will be 1 in the total number of those hypotheses. 2/2
-
Not sure how best to elaborate.. People often intuitively imagine religious claims are roughly 50% likely because they're either true or 1/2
-
they're not true, but that's like saying a 20 sided die has a 50% chance of rolling a 7 because it'll either roll a 7 or it won't. 2/2
-
There being so many distinct possibilities which cannot all simultaneously be true says a lot about the probability of claims w/o evidence.
-
But one possibility can be so much more likely than all the rest.
-
Ya, if we have evidence for it. If we have no evidence for a religious claim, it suffers from this problem of ~infinite other possibilities
- 5 more replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.