New Guy GrummzOvjeren akaunt

@Grummz

Team Lead for Vanilla World of Warcraft. Creator of Em-8ER, Firefall. Producer Diablo 2, Starcraft, Broodwar. Designer, CEO, Writer. I quote tweet as policy.

California, USA
Vrijeme pridruživanja: listopad 2008.

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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    The Quarantiner’s Dilemma is similar to the Innovator’s Dilemma. There’s a fast-growing but still small threat. Throw all your weight at it early? Then you seem to have overreacted. Wait till it gets big enough to be undeniable? Then you’re surely dead.

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  2. In some ways, but trade with China is also a growth multiplier for both nations. It's not a full negative. You can't have the growth we've had without each other.

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  3. Not many people in the US realize that most pet food and pet food ingredients come from China. We are co-dependent on China in many ways. And this virus can disrupt key pipelines of supplies to the world for everyday things.

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  4. Even if the disease is contained mostly to China, this is not a "Chinese problem." Our economies are tightly coupled. Once a country as big and important to supply and demand is shutting down dozens of cities, you have a worldwide issue beyond infection.

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  5. Sanitation in big cities are also a potentially big issue. Takes a lot to keep cities garbage free. What happens when it piles up? Hint: Sickness does too. And hospitals there are already turning many away.

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  6. I read one press article talking about how this will revolutionize working from home. MSM still thinks everyone is a coder and that's all we need. Who's growing the food? Who's transporting medicine and vital supplies? Who's building their iPhones? China is in big trouble.

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  7. That's not good. Shanghai is gigantic. I fear more stories like this over the coming weeks.

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  8. China is huge and wealthy, but that just means the logistical problems are beyond the scope of any single nation, even China. They need to be more open and we need to figure out ways to help everyone trapped in these quarantined cities as a single world problem.

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  9. Instead the WHO sat on their hands, and no China rep was ever on hand during press conferences. Travel needed to be shut down during Lunar New Year, when millions flew, not 10 days later.

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  10. We really need to all work together on this one, and we should have acted much faster.

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  11. There is also the terrible problem of all those shut down cities with people who can't go to work, open their shops. And food. Things can get very ugly fast when the supply chains for food get disrupted to these large cities.

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  12. Not many considered the economic problem as well. I started talking about it many days ago..the shutdown of cities and factories in China affecting global supply for raw materials, processed materials and electronic component supply. You're only starting to hear the press now.

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  13. People think in linear terms. We aren't wired for exponential curves...they are non intuitive in everyday thinking. The grains of rice on a chessboard example is mind blowing to most.

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  14. CNN 3 days ago: It's just the flu bro. CNN today: It's a full blown global emergency. I think the risk in US is still low. If the graph starts to climb next week (which would be after the 14 day incubation period following Chinese New Year Travel), then we'll see.

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  16. We lost all the know how and infrastructure. It would take a decade or more to build up.

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  17. You can't manufacture components at scale from home. The coronavirus will be very damaging to the world economy.

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  18. Instead of your insensitivity, embrace me and ask me to cough again.

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  19. If you shy away when I cough on you. You're racist.

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  20. Experts in China say wear your mask. Journalists in the US say no need and it might make it worse. *shugs in Mandarin*

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