Greg PolingOvjeren akaunt

@GregPoling

Director of & Fellow with . Tweets on other topics as they strike my fancy. All opinions my own. RTs≠endorsements.

Washington, DC
Vrijeme pridruživanja: kolovoz 2011.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    10. sij

    The conventional wisdom on China's island bases is dangerously wrong. Given current US posture, they would be prohibitively difficult to neutralize and make the SCS a no-man's land for US forces at the start of a conflict -- My latest for

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  2. This report on SCS FONOPs based on a Freedom of Information Act request to is interesting. But it conflates FONOPs with operating within 12 nm of Chinese islands. Many of the FONOPs it lists were not within 12nm

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  3. 4. velj

    Majorities of EVERY generation in America support participation in the Paris agreement, Iran nuclear agreement, TPP, and ICC. So tell me again why it's bad politics for a 2020 candidate to have the courage to back TPP reentry?

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. velj

    Join us tomorrow @geodcmetup for what's sure to be a lively discussion and presentation over international borders – featuring and ! RSVP:

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. velj

    As Duterte threatens to end the VFA, a gentle reminder that doing so would render EDCA useless and end all CT assistance, including the ISR that the armed forces inexplicably still lack. But you do you Duterte.

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  6. 4. velj

    My daughter just whipped out some "play money" to pay for pretend groceries and I think I detect a pattern.

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  7. 30. sij

    Spoke to on how scrapping the VFA would undermine the US-PH MDT and hurt real people. For example, the VFA allowed US troops to help save lives after Typhoon Yolanda and facilitated critical US ISR assistance during the Marawi siege.

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  8. 30. sij

    Want the full story on China's fishing fleet off Indonesia (and Brunei and Malaysia)? Our new report has you covered.

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  9. 30. sij

    A caricature of most interactions with the Pentagon: Me: [Shows publicly-available data] This is happening. Pentagon: We know. Thanks for getting the word out. Me: If it's already publicly available, why didn't you get the word out? Pentagon: It was classified. Me: 😐

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    “We have come prepared and determined to plan out the next actions that will further strengthen our alliance. I am confident that we are moving in the right direction towards ensuring that the alliance remains strong, dynamic and relevant,” Gapay was quoted as saying.

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Philippine Army continues to keep its affairs with American counterparts despite possible scrapping of VFA. Army chief Lt. Gen. Gilbert Gapay and US Army Pacific deputy commanding general Maj. Gen. John Johnson met on Wednesday for the 8th Executive Steering Group Meeting.

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  12. 30. sij

    Justice Carpio states the obvious: Duterte's claim that Russia and esp China are more respectful of PH sovereignty than US is divorced from reality

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  13. 29. sij

    PH Navy chief on Duterte's VFA threat: "We will continue to engage our closest allies in terms of training, in terms of capability upgrade. Tinutulungan naman tayo ng US (The US is helping us)"

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. sij

    We need deeper analysis to better understand survey results. Mere punditry in the absence of evidence merely feeds the herd more bad hay. "Herd Behavior and Approval Bubbles: A Closer Look at Duterte’s Popularity"

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  15. 29. sij

    1) 🤦‍♂️ 2) Locsin is in the US RIGHT NOW 3) "I'll leave it maybe to foreign affairs" shows there was no process here and like many of Du30's snap proclamation probably goes nowhere 4) This latest downturn really isnt about De Lima or Bato. They're convenient excuses.

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  16. 28. sij

    For those who don't speak , "spam" seems to mean any message that mentions "Taiwan."

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  17. 28. sij

    At least they're changing up the talking points... 🙄

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. sij
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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Presidential spox Panelo’s statement when former SFA del Rosario was denied entry in HK in July: "We cannot question the authority, the right of a country to stop or to investigate any guest or visitor who wanted to enter that particular country. That's their exclusive domain.”

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    27. sij

    's threat to end VFA would have effects for both countries and the region. But Manila would be most adversely affected given its limited capabilities and threat environment...the very realities that led to VFA in the first place:

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  21. 27. sij
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