The 40% number is misleading to wrong. A big problem is we know the number of hospitalizations/fatalities (numerator) but we have no clue about infections (denominator).
Ultimately, all I’m saying is that the 40% hospitalization rate stat seems scary but probably is misleading in a way that overstates the severity of the virus. Keeping an eye on the emerging mortality rate is a better way to gauge severity.
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Yeah I think the risk to you or I individually isn’t massive. But I look at the UK with patients already on trolleys in corridors due to a lack of beds and only 150k beds in the entire country and scale up a single digit percentage of millions and see some major issues.
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