I know every facebook blowhard witters on about death rates and how everyone is just being a whiny snowflake, but look at those numbers from Italy. 40% of people who have it are in hospital. Forty Percent. Forty.
My point is we have no idea how many people have been infected (the denominator). So you can’t meaningfully say what percentage are hospitalized or what the mortality rate is. We just don’t have enough data yet.
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That's sort of unconnected to the point I am making though. You're saying it could vary wildly in any direction. I agree. But to rely on the safety of a low death rate, but ignore the high hospitalisation rate from the same data set is not smart.
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Try looking at it like this: When you say 40% hospitalization rate, 40% of what group? All infections? Infections detected? Infections requiring medical attention? The way you use the stat implies 40% of all people infected, but that’s almost certainly wrong on the high side.
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