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Weekend + Monday projected forecast, 2/15, 2/16, 2/17: Saturday: Morning temperatures continue to be low in the 30’s, will bring strong demand levels and risk of elevated pricing especially between 8-9 AM CST. Price sensitivity will be its highest during the morning ramp up.
However there should be sufficient wind generation during the morning peak which should keep pricing at sufficiently at bay. Wind speeds fall tomorrow afternoon which brings minimal pricing risk between 6PM and 10PM.
Forecasted peak demand of 45,000 MW between 8-9 AM with available generation around 55,000 MW. Average on-peak price of 1.7¢ system-wide.
Sunday Sunday Morning warms up a bit but still brings temperatures in the low 40’s. Wind generation is expected to variable throughout the day with generation bottoming out early in the day to around 3,000 MW.
It is expected to climb up and reach to close to 18,000 MW by the end of the day. Pricing should be low through the day, but again the area to watch is the morning ramp up of generation where pricing is the most sensitive through the day.
Forecasted peak demand of 39,000 MW between 8-9 AM with available generation around 51,000 MW. Average on-peak price of 1.7¢ system-wide Monday: For Monday, morning temps look to be mild with low’s in the 50’s and warmer temps during the evening in the 70’s and 80’s.
Wind generation is forecast to remain strong though the day with a peak of 18,000 MW and a floor of 12,000 MW. Forecasted peak demand of 43,000 MW between 8-9 AM with available generation around 50,000 MW. Average on-peak price of 1.6¢ system-wide.
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