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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. mike johansen‏ @mikejohansenmd Sep 19

      Will India have another Sars-2 wave?pic.twitter.com/T1QSt7PJ7V

      14 replies 1 retweet 19 likes
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Sep 19
      Replying to @mikejohansenmd

      Plausible, but they've had so many deaths that at this point I would not be surprised if they had 90%+ infected. With 4mil deaths, and an IFR of ~0.3%, that'd be basically the whole country infected

      11 replies 2 retweets 45 likes
    3. Cary Grant‏ @BothaBoy Sep 19
      Replying to @GidMK @mikejohansenmd

      What data is there to support that supposition? How can India achieve this before other countries ? Where is the supporting data on this? Serious question as there will be key learnings for ROW if India has been able to protect itself to the extent suggested.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Gearóid McMahon‏ @gearoidmm Sep 19
      Replying to @BothaBoy @GidMK @mikejohansenmd

      You have a funny notion of protecting itself when basically everyone had COVID and millions died.

      3 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    5. Cary Grant‏ @BothaBoy Sep 19
      Replying to @gearoidmm @GidMK @mikejohansenmd

      Use cases per million ... Judging by the area under the curve, India are doing relatively better than some. But I guess you consider that they may be failing to report a magnitude higher of COVID infection use cases. Can you correct me if this use case ref. data is inaccurate?pic.twitter.com/jxRUbTxuOy

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Crispin Doyle‏ @CrispyCX 15h15 hours ago
      Replying to @BothaBoy @gearoidmm and

      Some statisticians have tried to estimate India’s actual Covid deaths and with 3 different methods, they get broad agreement at around 10x the official number. Perhaps cases have been underestimated too?https://cgdev.org/publication/three-new-estimates-indias-all-cause-excess-mortality-during-covid-19-pandemic …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Cary Grant‏ @BothaBoy 2h2 hours ago
      Replying to @CrispyCX @gearoidmm and

      Estimate. How do you hide a 10X increase in bodies? We only had a bump in Indian Covid infections in April until May 7th? So what explains their reported COVID data in an accurate way? Just estimating it should be higher is not good enough. Excess death data is the best lead.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Gearóid McMahon‏ @gearoidmm 2h2 hours ago
      Replying to @BothaBoy @CrispyCX and

      They didn't hide the bodies. It was just a particular problem with the way they counted COVID deaths. You had to have a positive test but they were not testing remotely enough. It was plain from the number of people dying that the numbers were wildly wrong

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 2h2 hours ago
      Replying to @gearoidmm @BothaBoy and

      Indeed, people seem to deliberately misunderstand this. Prior to the pandemic, in some areas of India only 30% of deaths were certified by a medical examiner - the rest just get classed as "unknown cause" or not recorded at all

      2:11 PM - 20 Sep 2021
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Cary Grant‏ @BothaBoy 2h2 hours ago
          Replying to @GidMK @gearoidmm and

          So what is happening now there? You all seem so certain of your data. Are deaths continuing or has herd immunity kicked in? It is certainly not been in the media headlines here since May 7th’s peak. Any explanations? We may be missing huge learnings by not discussing this.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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