“Between July and December 2021, between 1455 and 3152 Victorians are projected to die of COVID-19 under the road map, including the 11 deaths in the current outbreak.”https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/hospitals-likely-overwhelmed-road-map-modelling-shows-20210919-p58sz8.html …
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I'm surprised it's that high, if vaccination reduces the risk of death by a factor of >10 and the higher-risk age groups have good vaccine coverage... Is that because the quoted reduction in risk of death is inclusive of reduction in transmission, not conditional on infection?
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