The risk of Covid for under 30s is much greater than the risk of vaccines. Death is not the only bad outcome. https://www.timesofisrael.com/more-than-10-of-israeli-kids-who-got-virus-now-suffer-from-long-covid-study/ …pic.twitter.com/04H3TZsN6z
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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The risk of Covid for under 30s is much greater than the risk of vaccines. Death is not the only bad outcome. https://www.timesofisrael.com/more-than-10-of-israeli-kids-who-got-virus-now-suffer-from-long-covid-study/ …pic.twitter.com/04H3TZsN6z
Would the results be the same if you compared deaths and hospitalizations due to all causes, not just myocarditis, and took into account the fact that not all under 30s will actually catch covid? That's always an issue with such comparisons.
The risk benefit calculation for vaccines isn’t even close.https://www.timesofisrael.com/more-than-10-of-israeli-kids-who-got-virus-now-suffer-from-long-covid-study/ …
I'm sorry but you're gonna need to send us data, not just press articles. For instance in 0-17 years old flu kills more than COVID, but covid vax kills more than flu shots. By a 1 to 2 orders of magnitude.https://trialsitenews.com/covid-19-vaccinations-98-times-more-deadly-than-flu-vaccines-according-to-vaers-reports/ …
That is total nonsense. Displays a very basic misunderstanding of the reporting systems, data collection, etc
Of course, no causality is clearly established there and the confidence interval is very wide. But given the magnitude of the signal, good luck finding an alternative explanation.
Oh, there are numerous alternative explanations. The first, and most obvious, has to do with how voluntary reporting systems work. It's why anyone who has even the most basic understanding of VAERS would never write such absolute nonsense
Give me some estimates on by how much that data is going to be wrong. Hand waving with "this is nonsense" won't take us very far.
The magnitude is hard to estimate, but given that there is no demonstrable causal relationship between most reports and the vaccine it is entirely possible that it is a 100% overestimate
You can still calculate the probability that an adverse event happening in 40% of the cases in the first 3 days after the shot is pure chance when comparing to some kind of baseline for that age range. My hunch is that it would be very low.
See, this is what I mean by very basic misunderstanding - these are not adverse events HAPPENING, but REPORTS of events which are influenced by media reports and the like. For example, many incidents reported more than once
So what percentage was double-reported? 1%?
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