6/n So I'm a bit confused by the terminology here. As far as I can see, the authors have relied entirely on VAERS to determine case figures, which the sources they reference point out cannot be considered a causal linkpic.twitter.com/9SLwxvigoA
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17/n I think weighing the competing risks of vaccination vs infection is a very challenging thing to do, so I commend the authors on the preprint. I think these might be things to consider when updating it for future versions
18/n That being said, I'm not sure I agree that this preprint shows vaccination to be riskier than immunization for these age groups/genders. Not an easy question to answer!
19/n This piece from @dfreedman7 is a fairly startling addition to the discussion. The implication appears to be that even the basic case definition the authors used was entirely useless, which is less than idealhttps://twitter.com/dfreedman7/status/1437229791380443139?s=20 …
Something worth considering when making that argument with 100% is that it assumes there will be no other vaccine (or possibly dosage regime?) available in the future without the risk of myocarditis
This was a common problem with people doing these type of calculations with the AstraZeneca vaccine. The options then (in Europe) was AZ now or Pfizer/Moderna in 2-3months later yet a lot of comparisons was just risk with covid-19 vs risk from the AE from astrazeneca
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