If cases go up, then the Reff for today was clearly >1. If cases go DOWN and keep dropping (i.e. a flat line on total cases), then the Reff was <=1pic.twitter.com/clb1BbqasB
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If cases go up, then the Reff for today was clearly >1. If cases go DOWN and keep dropping (i.e. a flat line on total cases), then the Reff was <=1pic.twitter.com/clb1BbqasB
We won't know which one is happening for at least a few days, so any estimate for today has VERY wide confidence intervals
Anyway, not a major issue, but it's been bugging me all pandemic
(at least in other countries) that is also true about case numbers, hospitalizations, and deaths BTW. sometimes the corrections can be quite big and also be quite a while in the past. (example in German only, 2nd big graph at https://orf.at/corona/daten/oesterreich …).
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