We've seen two consecutive falls in daily cases every few weeks in NSW, followed by a shot upwards. It's better than the alternative but let's not get too excited (yet). "There's many a slip twixt the cup and the lip".
Oh yeh right my maths brain is, uh, not doing well today. Luckily I was only off by a factor of 10
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That's good to know - I was working from the global data that I had found from WHO, but knew that it might be on the high side for how things are now. It's still more deaths than I'd like.
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So the CFR is somewhat useful but depends largely on case detection so can't really be used as a predictive tool for mortality. Agreed that the IFR is still very high!
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