I predict that no one will produce evidence that suggests my numbers are wrong by an important margin (e.g. a factor of 5x or more). I predict that many will go instead for personal insults. This should be concerning.https://twitter.com/DrCameronMurray/status/1427776247250055171 …
Potentially, but that depends on the vaccine, the level of protection etc. Hard to estimate. A similar unknown is the proportion of people who will be reinfected following an initial infection
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... and another variable is future strains (which can be more or less dangerous). And we must also ask ourselves, is the risk of 0.00182% low or high or acceptable or not acceptable? (1 / 55000).
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What about the flu? Over what time frame would you expect that someone would definitely get the flu? (vs 5 years for Covid)
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