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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      We've known for some time that COVID-19 is unlikely to be eradicated. This means that the end-goal for any zero-COVID nation should be extremely high rates of vaccination, not permanent eliminationhttps://gidmk.medium.com/the-end-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-b03ac751baa1 …

      18 replies 39 retweets 185 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      If 95%+ of your population is vaccinated, then it doesn't really matter if new cases are introduced, because any outbreaks will be pretty mild

      14 replies 8 retweets 54 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      You can actually see this in action in Iceland, where more than 75% of the population is vaccinated - despite their biggest outbreak ever, there have been no more new COVID deaths so farpic.twitter.com/NK04BZIur5

      11 replies 28 retweets 130 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

      To clarify - when I say "doesn't really matter" I mean that at a POPULATION LEVEL the impact is expected to be quite small. Obviously to the individuals at risk this is a more serious issue, but if we're talking entire countries the calculus is differenthttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1427111223716319233?s=20 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      If 95%+ of your population is vaccinated, then it doesn't really matter if new cases are introduced, because any outbreaks will be pretty mild
      Show this thread
      8:59 PM - 15 Aug 2021
      • 1 Retweet
      • 50 Likes
      • Raphael J F Berger kfunk937 Kyle Wolf Mathematiker plädiert für Ruhe und Rationalität RJ - Nerd Dad 😷 Fully Vaccinated! Jojo Mayer Javier R Paiva Sennekuyl choccadoc
      6 replies 1 retweet 50 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. InViennaVeritas 🔴‏ @yousitonmyspot Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          For now only the more infectious variants became dominant. If we continue with high incidence and get higher vaccination rates, don't we generate more resistent variants as well?

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. PriscilaFalzirolli‏ @PFalzirolli Aug 16
          Replying to @yousitonmyspot @GidMK

          We already have lineages like Beta or A.30 that are almost as refractory to neutralizing antibodies as the virus could potentially get. The thing is, it doesn't need to mutate in dozens of places to evade antibodies - a single well-placed mutation per antibody class does it.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. mamma #ProtectTheKids BildungAberSicher.ch‏ @Happy_live_safe Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          The vaccines don't protect against long covid. Either vaccines can be improved so vaxxed people don't get infected, or there will have to be a constant vigilance to eliminate these outbreaks

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Tim‏ @HAVENOT83 Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          Hey Mate, Are you aware of this blokes research? If transferable to Covid, lockdowns could be driving very bad outcomes?https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJM199108293250903 …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Laura McCall #NoMassInfection‏ @equibotanica Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          Iceland has a very small population (~355,000) and a very 'efficient' healthcare system. The current wave is pushing the limits of capacity bc of admissions, q'tine and iso of staff, inf control measures to prevent nosocomial transmission, etc.https://www.ruv.is/frett/2021/08/14/stadan-nalgast-neydarastand …

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Lorenzo‏ @ProcessNamed Aug 16
          Replying to @GidMK

          If I read you correctly, you are referring to what could happen to "zero-covid" countries and how they would manage the eventual introductions. For the rest of the world where COVID will be endemic in the proper sense "pretty mild" could be an understatement.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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