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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      We've known for some time that COVID-19 is unlikely to be eradicated. This means that the end-goal for any zero-COVID nation should be extremely high rates of vaccination, not permanent eliminationhttps://gidmk.medium.com/the-end-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-b03ac751baa1 …

      18 replies 39 retweets 185 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      If 95%+ of your population is vaccinated, then it doesn't really matter if new cases are introduced, because any outbreaks will be pretty mild

      14 replies 8 retweets 54 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      You can actually see this in action in Iceland, where more than 75% of the population is vaccinated - despite their biggest outbreak ever, there have been no more new COVID deaths so farpic.twitter.com/NK04BZIur5

      11 replies 28 retweets 130 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Romain Martin‏ @RomainMartinIO Aug 15
      Replying to @GidMK

      They are actually crazy worried to have their hospital overrun…https://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/news/news/2021/08/14/iceland_s_main_icu_strained_by_new_covid_19_cases/ …

      2 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15
      Replying to @RomainMartinIO

      That's a good point - there's a stark divide between the massive reduction in deaths vs the somewhat less enormous reduction in hospitalizations that vaccinating your over-16 population brings

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    6. Sludge metal against capitalism‏ @skullwizard666 Aug 15
      Replying to @GidMK @RomainMartinIO

      Serious question, though -- that article says there's 7 ICU patients in the main hospital. How does that compare to the kind of ICU strain we've seen in the US or Russia (the two places I regularly read news about)? Just to get some perspective on what "strain" means here

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15
      Replying to @skullwizard666 @RomainMartinIO

      Context is important here - Iceland has a population smaller than Atlanta, so 7 cases in ICU is not immaterial even in a larger city

      8:57 PM - 15 Aug 2021
      • 4 Likes
      • kfunk937 Irene Tosetti Laura McCall #NoMassInfection Romain Martin
      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. Sludge metal against capitalism‏ @skullwizard666 Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK @RomainMartinIO

          Oh I figured as much in principle, I just have no idea what the actual proportions are. That's why I'm asking about the context here, because this isn't my field and I have no idea

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Romain Martin‏ @RomainMartinIO Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK @skullwizard666

          Look at Israel. I live in Quebec, 🇨🇦 and if the same thing happens here, with similar vax rates, our hospital capacity would already be overrun (we have 350 ICU beds for the entire province). We ve been navigating this pandemic with thosp capacity being the gauge here so 🤷‍♂️

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Sludge metal against capitalism‏ @skullwizard666 Aug 15
          Replying to @RomainMartinIO @GidMK

          Yeah, I think it's just hard for me to think about the relative proportions here. What happens if Iceland's ICU capacity is exceeded? Does it have a proportional effect to what would happen in Quebec's capacity were exceeded? I mean for all I know it would be worse

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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