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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      We've known for some time that COVID-19 is unlikely to be eradicated. This means that the end-goal for any zero-COVID nation should be extremely high rates of vaccination, not permanent eliminationhttps://gidmk.medium.com/the-end-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-b03ac751baa1 …

      18 replies 39 retweets 185 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

      If 95%+ of your population is vaccinated, then it doesn't really matter if new cases are introduced, because any outbreaks will be pretty mild

      8:33 PM - 15 Aug 2021
      • 8 Retweets
      • 54 Likes
      • Irregular Mums podcast Kyle Wolf Mathematiker plädiert für Ruhe und Rationalität Dr. Luciana Machado DragonPharmD 💙 Jojo Mayer Javier R Paiva Covid19SupportGrpSA Steve
      14 replies 8 retweets 54 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

          You can actually see this in action in Iceland, where more than 75% of the population is vaccinated - despite their biggest outbreak ever, there have been no more new COVID deaths so farpic.twitter.com/NK04BZIur5

          11 replies 28 retweets 130 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 15

          Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

          To clarify - when I say "doesn't really matter" I mean that at a POPULATION LEVEL the impact is expected to be quite small. Obviously to the individuals at risk this is a more serious issue, but if we're talking entire countries the calculus is differenthttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1427111223716319233?s=20 …

          Health Nerd added,

          Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
          If 95%+ of your population is vaccinated, then it doesn't really matter if new cases are introduced, because any outbreaks will be pretty mild
          Show this thread
          6 replies 1 retweet 50 likes
          Show this thread
        4. End of conversation
        1. Adam‏ @AdamBielinski Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          Do we have any predictions for where the variants in the coming years will go?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Adithya Ramachandran‏ @AdithyaR_YXE Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK @TonyBurnetti

          Absolutely. Once we can get world governments to mutually agree on this, we can tackle the twin challenges of vaccine supply (step up manufacturing, a lot) and demand (mandates).

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. ChristosArgyropoulos MD, PhD (Green Chili Check)‏ @ChristosArgyrop Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          This is not a given. Each of the 3-4 previous surges in the US involved on average 10-12% of the population. It takes VE against severe disease to be <90% and a let-it-rip situation (="everyone catches it") to get one of those in place

          1 reply 2 retweets 9 likes
        3. pandemic of failed leadership‏ @LoboGerda Aug 15
          Replying to @ChristosArgyrop @GidMK

          Iceland provides rich vax data, but remember they can also contain spread bc IMU every +person (incl asympt) gets assigned an MD and social worker to check in with them daily for 14 days and help them manage their isolation and any symptoms. Concierge healthcare for all.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2.  🌱VAX, MASK, & PURIFY AIR‏ @ElaineVigneault Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          It matters to the 5% It matters to the moderate/severe breakthroughs It matters to long haulers It matters to people who like being able to smell things

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. mother of all gay bombs‏ @butts_4_jesus Aug 15
          Replying to @ElaineVigneault @GidMK

          There’s no other realistic option left. We aren’t going to eradicate this virus. The best we can do is make morbidity and mortality from it uncommon or outright rare.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Son of God, Ronald J. Dodge‏ @OmarAlexis Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          So, you saying there is a de facto eradication but only if we reach high (75%+) number of inoculations (including children). Right ?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Tim Gooding‏ @TGooding Aug 15
          Replying to @GidMK

          Depends how COVid mutates. Will it mutate naturally so as to not to kill the host or will it mutate against the vaccine and become more virulent? Or perhaps something not anticipated? To my knoweldge, we've never vaccinated the world population against symptoms before.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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