If 95%+ of your population is vaccinated, then it doesn't really matter if new cases are introduced, because any outbreaks will be pretty mild
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You can actually see this in action in Iceland, where more than 75% of the population is vaccinated - despite their biggest outbreak ever, there have been no more new COVID deaths so farpic.twitter.com/NK04BZIur5
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To clarify - when I say "doesn't really matter" I mean that at a POPULATION LEVEL the impact is expected to be quite small. Obviously to the individuals at risk this is a more serious issue, but if we're talking entire countries the calculus is differenthttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1427111223716319233?s=20 …
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Australia and New Zealand proved zero covid was possible. Shame the rest of the world wasn’t on board.
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Just treat it like the flu. Get a jab.
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If 95% of your population is vaccinated, and a vax resistant variant develops, you're back to Mar 2020, & your vulnerable population is reexposed along with everyone else. If you limit your vax to the vulnerable, your population will have a mix of infection acquired immunity 1/
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from different strains. Each of those immunities is broader & more robust than the very narrow vax immunity, and the mix of strains makes it broader still. Should a vax resistant variant arise, your general population will be less vulnerable, & will be a barrier to protect 2/
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Maybe wait see what reinfection of vaccinated people looks like. Without serious transmission reduction effects (more than looks possible right now), it looks like our health system won't cope if the risk reduction for hospitalisation/ICU is anything less than 97%.
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To borrow from chess it looks like some in Aus see a potential winning endgame and are rushing to exchange into it from a sharp middlegame rather than being patient in case one of those exchanges end up giving your opponent the advantage.
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