Your regular reminder that "Focused Protection" from the Great Barrington Declaration is, and always was, absolute nonsensehttps://twitter.com/NDLoubere/status/1426672027239337989 …
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Note - this is important because it happened BEFORE the GBD proposed it, which goes to show that even with "focused protection" places can have enormous death tolls from COVID-19
The issue was Never does helping protect vulnerable people decrease deaths it was always about GBD promoting that in lue of doing anything and "let it burn" through the rest of the population not to mention the never-ending fault in thinking we can identify the vulnerable.
In Switzerland the incidence in 60-80 and 80+ was always the highest. The serologic results may be misleading as many die? And maybe fading antibodies?
The incidence based on PCR tests, which mostly target symptomatic people, may have been higher, but antibody studies show that in Switzerland elderly people had lower rates of infection i.e.https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31304-0/fulltext#seccestitle10 …
As we're seeing today, the "3-6 months to herd immunity" (now rebranded sustainable endemnicity?!) would have crashed any hospital system with 30s-50s anyway. Of course the idea that someone turns 65, retires and has no important connection to society, their grandchildren....
...other adults they care for, etc etc is such a weird fiction yet influential on policy. Finally no solutions for the care sector, nursing homes and domiciliary care....any delivery reorganisation/testing regime totally swamped by uncontrolled transmission!
It was always unserious window-dressing. No mention of the large plurality of US adults with chronic conditions. No mention of the majority of elders living alone or with family. No mention of the older Americans working jobs, with dependents. Just nursing-home-motels-shut-up.
That was the idea. The GBD never aimed to reduce infections, but rather the suffering and death that came from it, which is clearly, radically skewed toward the elderly. "FOCUSED protection" for the most likely to die.
So... I don't get this... much lower infection rates among elderly compared to countries like Sweden that didn't lockdown or...?
Was still insufficient and has cost the Swedish model dearly. In resting is that you always go back to the original (old) doc, not conceptually, but working yourself out on specific measures
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