It is not. Large numbers have no bearing whatsoever on residual confounding
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Replying to @GidMK @EdoajoEric
You're wrong and you know it. The residual confounding have to be enormous to explain the difference, so big that it must be evident and it isn't. Same in Peru, same in Uttar Pradesh India, same in other places. Residual confoundings do explain Together trial result indeed.
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Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric
You appear to genuinely have no idea what confounding is. This is a reasonable primer if you're interested in knowing why it's an issue for this analysis but not the Together trial: https://sph.unc.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/112/2015/07/nciph_ERIC11.pdf …
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Replying to @GidMK @EdoajoEric
Certainly there are residual confounders, but not large enough to even moderately change the results. If so, chances are they will change the results for the better.
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Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric
That's simply inaccurate - the residual confounding is likely to impact the results. For example, who is more likely to get tested and then get a pack? Etc
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Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric
Nope - epi 101, often socio-economics drive choices like these. Entirely possible that the richer people were both more likely to get a test AND receive a pack. The point is not that this DID happen, but that it could change the results if it had
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Replying to @GidMK @EdoajoEric
You're making assumptions ignoring third world reality. Rich people in Mexico are a small group, they don't go to the public heaths system. They go to private doctors and buy their own drugs.
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Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric
Rich is contextual, and in this context is shorthand for "more socio-economically advanced than average"
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Replying to @GidMK @EdoajoEric
The reduction in hospitalizations happened in every single age group, in every single week, in every single comorbidities group. The difference decreased the last weeks, right after a public announcement about the study. Both groups improved.
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You are missing my point entirely. Without going over what confounding is for the third time today, I'm not sure how else to explain it so that you can understand
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I got blocked by some Hayek fanboy for mentioning confounding variables - he insisted I was a stupid moron for doing so.
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