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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. J Chamie‏ @jjchamie Aug 12
      Replying to @EdoajoEric @GidMK

      IMO his conclusions suggest bad faith. Although it is possible that the combination between his bias and the lack of rigor lead him to notice only what confirms by his beliefs.

      7 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 12
      Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric

      You seem to be suggesting that anyone who disagrees with you is either incompetent or acting in bad faith, which is a fascinating position to hold

      1 reply 0 retweets 13 likes
    3. J Chamie‏ @jjchamie Aug 12
      Replying to @GidMK @EdoajoEric

      I'm not suggesting anything about other people. I'm saying you are ignoring information, and this could be leading your POV This isn't incompetence.

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 12
      Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric

      What information have I ignored?

      7 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    5. J Chamie‏ @jjchamie Aug 12
      Replying to @GidMK @EdoajoEric

      "Using just two months of mortality data from the Peruvian summer to calculate an excess just doesn't make sense" False Can you see any seasonality here? Fact: Tropical countries don't have seasons. There isn't summer or winter with an increase in deaths.pic.twitter.com/cGLZYRB3Z6

      3 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 12
      Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric

      Firstly, seasonality would be hard to see on that graph even if it existed. But the main thing about calculating excess mortality is trends, and those aren't all about seasons. Check the work of @ArielKarlinsky if you want to see why that method is not reliable

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 12
      Replying to @GidMK @jjchamie and

      Also, worth noting that this isn't an example of me "ignoring evidence" this is me disagreeing with you. Those are not the same at all 👍

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. J Chamie‏ @jjchamie Aug 12
      Replying to @GidMK @EdoajoEric @ArielKarlinsky

      Your conclusions were based on the wrong info. But not anymore. Distribution timing and huge drops in deaths happened right after. Nothing else happened that could explain it. Do you have any other explanation?

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 12
      Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric @ArielKarlinsky

      They didn't happen "right after", and there are numerous explanations. But again, I am not trying to prove some other point, merely saying that YOUR argument is unconvincing

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    10. J Chamie‏ @jjchamie Aug 12
      Replying to @GidMK @EdoajoEric @ArielKarlinsky

      It's easy to say "there are numerous explanations" without giving a single one. Did you read the paper? https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3765018&download=yes …

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 12
      Replying to @jjchamie @EdoajoEric @ArielKarlinsky

      I did indeed. It is similarly very easy to say "Well if I'm wrong tell me what's right" rather than actually trying to prove that your point is correct:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burden_of_proof_(philosophy) …

      4:14 PM - 12 Aug 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • df Blommegie!
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 12
          Replying to @GidMK @jjchamie and

          I'm not saying I have all the answers, just that I don't think your answer is convincing. These are two very separate concepts

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Dr. Eric Osgood MD‏ @EdoajoEric Aug 13
          Replying to @GidMK @jjchamie @ArielKarlinsky

          Few medical practices are based on proof or anything close to it. Least of all in infectious diseases - a field chock full of strong professional medical societal recs based on 0 controlled trials. Most of the time we have to manage uncertainty, risk, benefit, feasibility, ethics

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
        3. Dr. Eric Osgood MD‏ @EdoajoEric Aug 13
          Replying to @EdoajoEric @GidMK and

          A separate point but one of which I will continue to obnoxiously remind everyone. If solid evidence emerges that a practice is of no benefit, we modify and deadopt.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies

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