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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      18/n The authors also produced these graphs, and argued that since they were relatively similar that government restrictions against COVID-19 didn't explain the difference in mortality that they sawpic.twitter.com/2ojQMWHrxQ

      1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      19/n As far as I can see they didn't actually TEST this possibility - they just eyeballed the graphs, and said they were similar enough But are they?

      1 reply 0 retweets 18 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      20/n For example, the graph from Puno is plotted on a different axis to the others, which means that the declines in movement (the coloured lines) are all at least ~10% different to the other placespic.twitter.com/GhGMIt4omb

      1 reply 0 retweets 18 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      21/n Also, the "excess" mortality is wildly different between regions, peaking at different times in different places. That's not that similar imo!

      1 reply 0 retweets 14 likes
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    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      22/n The other fascinating thing about these graphs is that they appear to completely undercut the entire argument in the study You see, the program that they've used to delineate exposure started at the end of Julypic.twitter.com/NLqIR8srzS

      1 reply 0 retweets 20 likes
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    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      23/n As far as I can tell from the study and news reports, it consisted of first identifying high-risk people for a week or two, then going house-by-house to test them and deliver care packages over the next few weeks/months

      1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
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    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      24/n This means that the EARLIEST that the program could've been delivering ivermectin is around the second week of August But look at the peaks of excess deaths in those graphspic.twitter.com/QjaXUNrslR

      1 reply 0 retweets 21 likes
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    8. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      25/n It appears that in most cases, the peak of deaths happened in August ~or earlier~, which means that this program wasn't even started until deaths had already peaked in most places. This is a pretty huge issue for the analysis!

      4 replies 3 retweets 30 likes
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    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8

      26/n Anyway, at a basic level there's absolutely no way to estimate from the data how many people were actually taking ivermectin in any of these places, so this analysis cannot possibly show that ivermectin is effective or ineffective 🤷‍♂️

      11 replies 3 retweets 49 likes
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    10. Kṛttikā‏ @lapleiade89 Aug 8
      Replying to @GidMK

      Given that there exists a plausible antiviral mechanism, evidence that routine AP use is correlated with lower C19 viral loads, non existent adverse effects at clinical doses and lots of positive outcomes from hospital data - why do you *only* focus on poor q studies? Stooge!

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Aug 8
      Replying to @lapleiade89

      I've tweeted about several high-quality studies and why I think they're good actually. People just don't care very much, perhaps because most of them don't show much of a benefit

      5:42 PM - 8 Aug 2021
      • 6 Likes
      • Impeach his ass Jessica Twentyman Diogenes zumi🏳️‍⚧️bumi CeeBee
      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
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