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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 16

      8/n Ok, so that's an issue. What were extremely strong results are now statistically very weak and not beneficial in the major subgroups But there's a bigger issue here

      2 replies 6 retweets 44 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 16

      9/n Step 3: add in new research This study was published shortly after Bryant et al came out. It would certainly have been included in the analysis if it was already out (no fault to the authors of course) so let's add it inpic.twitter.com/Wc8I7Qmf4d

      2 replies 6 retweets 40 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 16

      10/n The significance of the model entirely disappears. Now ivermectin shows no benefit for mortality at all, even in the overall analysispic.twitter.com/QH8tdyXi7U

      1 reply 7 retweets 55 likes
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    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 16

      11/n But wait, there's more! If you go back to that graph excluding Elgazzar, there's something odd. You see only one study finding a significant benefit for ivermectinpic.twitter.com/2VZvGDOetB

      1 reply 7 retweets 43 likes
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    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 16

      12/n In fact, it seems like the entire mortality benefit for ivermectin, once Elgazzar is excluded, comes down to this one study: Niaee et al

      1 reply 7 retweets 45 likes
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    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 16

      13/n If you look at the Niaee et al preprint, there are quite a number of issues. In fact, @K_Sheldrick noted that the results are worrying, and that the study "should not be included in meta-analyses" 👀👀👀pic.twitter.com/mWV8BvccnJ

      3 replies 10 retweets 63 likes
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    7. ciudadano_py‏ @ciudadano_py Jul 31
      Replying to @GidMK @K_Sheldrick

      🤔pic.twitter.com/9qC617o0Jt

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Kyle Sheldrick‏ @K_Sheldrick Jul 31
      Replying to @ciudadano_py @GidMK

      Yes exactly!

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. ciudadano_py‏ @ciudadano_py Jul 31
      Replying to @K_Sheldrick @GidMK

      Even as I don't like the idea of diagnosing COVID with a CT scan, the table shows the division between those that were diagnosed covid by CT scan or by Positive PCR, it doesn't say that those diagnosed with CT have a Negative PCR.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Kyle Sheldrick‏ @K_Sheldrick Jul 31
      Replying to @ciudadano_py @GidMK

      I'm not sure you follow the point being made. Regardless of whether you agree with the diagnosis by CT or not, the chance of having so many more PCR negative in control than ivermectin arms has less than a 1 in 1,000 chance of occurring by luck. Suggests not randomly assigned.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 31
      Replying to @K_Sheldrick @ciudadano_py

      Also worth noting that there are numerous such differences between the arms. There's a big difference between RR, age, % severe, and just look at the BP of arm 4!

      5:46 AM - 31 Jul 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Jesus Christ
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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