El enigma del experimento británico: caen los contagios de covid tras eliminar todas las restricciones. Los expertos no hallan una explicación conclusivahttps://elpais.com/sociedad/2021-07-30/el-enigma-del-experimento-britanico-caen-los-contagios-de-covid-tras-eliminar-todas-las-restricciones.html?utm_source=Twitter&ssm=TW_CM#Echobox=1627627189-1 …
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Replying to @el_pais
Los descensos de las curvas en Reino Unido NUNCA se han debido a los confinamientos. No es la primera vez que pasa, ha pasado siempre: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/biom.13462 …pic.twitter.com/0nmF4NY0ie
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Simon Nicholls Retweeted Simon Nicholls
Well, if he is in the mood to argue with a deep data dive that actually measures the correlation of mobility fall off against deaths. He's welcome to try and find the holes in this.https://twitter.com/sinichol/status/1403065940363853831 …
Simon Nicholls added,
Simon Nicholls @sinicholDid LDs work? To Jun11 for
Lon/Manc/Liv Google Mobility
Infs implied from ONS/PHE deaths/cases
Gradient of infs from deaths
Its correl to Lon mobility
Plotting detail
https://twitter.com/sinichol/status/1381654427602411529 …
LD rsq 0.82, high
Do infs fall before LDs?
If we look at each LD...
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Not according to the world mortality dataset, which is the source I used for that statement (linked in the piece)
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