India estimated death toll due to COVID-19 - 2.5-4.5 million. Between 0.15-0.4% of the entire country dead from the disease Not exactly what I'd call good news tbhhttps://twitter.com/TonyHinton2016/status/1419706548729913347 …
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Replying to @GidMK
Tbh I have some concerns about really high numbers from serosurveys:https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.05.10.21256855v1 …
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Replying to @ENirenberg
Yes that too, although 67% at this point isn't totally out of the question
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Replying to @GidMK
I wouldn't rule it out for sure. But it's not as though we haven't been burned before here
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Replying to @ENirenberg @GidMK
Honestly serosurveys seem incredibly difficult for me. Anti-spike Abs decay more slowly but given this issue you may want to confirm with anti-N; at the same time we do see some crossreactions from prior coronavirus infections. And then some people are neg but have T cells
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Replying to @ENirenberg @GidMK
Plus all the usual challenges of sampling biases and all. I'm amazed we ever get close with any estimates
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Agreed. We've got a new paper looking at all these issues in developing nations and it's a lot
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