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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 22

      A fairly well-demonstrated fact about COVID-19 and lockdowns is that the more severe restrictions tend to have smaller marginal benefits once enactedpic.twitter.com/IVMAT3g3YV

      28 replies 64 retweets 206 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 22

      In practice, this means that the reduction in transmission for, say, limiting travel to 5km radius is probably quite small once you've already implemented other interventions such as stay-at-home orders

      3 replies 2 retweets 70 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 22

      In other words, when we talk about 'hard' vs other lockdowns, the language often doesn't match the evidence. There's no strong reason to believe that adding small extra limits on behavior will have a large impact on the spread of COVID-19

      11:18 PM - 22 Jul 2021
      • 10 Retweets
      • 102 Likes
      • Joj Jack jake bennie - Lisa, a spectacled flying fox Darrin Tucker Amber Robinson Mathematiker plädiert für Ruhe und Rationalität Raluca Mihalache-Lehto Amanda Rainey 🥒
      6 replies 10 retweets 102 likes
        1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 22

          This is not to say that further restrictions will not do anything, but it is worth remembering that adding more restrictions on top of stay-at-home orders and the like may not actually impact infection numbers all that much

          15 replies 8 retweets 80 likes
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        1. Mark‏ @mark_melbin Jul 23
          Replying to @GidMK

          Nah

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Zach Hensel‏ @alchemytoday Jul 23
          Replying to @GidMK

          The main thing harder lockdowns add is enforceability... a lot easier to enforce business closures or people being out of their homes than a complicated set of rules.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Zach Hensel‏ @alchemytoday Jul 23
          Replying to @alchemytoday @GidMK

          It's not as if politicians are unaware that some things banned under lockdowns are just fine... especially when it came to 2nd lockdowns with no goal of getting to zero.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Austin Docherty‏ @AustinDocherty Jul 25
          Replying to @GidMK

          Austin Docherty Retweeted Erwin Loh

          No strong reason, other than maybe follow the modelling.https://twitter.com/erwinloh/status/1415263318932017153?s=20 …

          Austin Docherty added,

          Erwin Loh @erwinloh
          A tougher 4-week #COVID19 #lockdown could save #Sydney months of stay-at-home orders, new #modelling shows. #NSW’s updated level of restrictions (orange line, similar to #Victoria’s Stage 3 + #masks) would prevent daily case numbers from increasing furthe…https://lnkd.in/gATavgk 
          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. sortius‏ @sortius Jul 25
          Replying to @GidMK

          Except real world experience shows none of what you've tweeted is true

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. brilliant things‏ @brilliantthingy Aug 6
          Replying to @GidMK

          When a city is under curfew and you have to wear masks everywhere, it feels like this shit is real. Sydney doesn't have that across the city so people feel a little freer to do what they will. Not a good time to try to reinvent the wheel.

          0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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