A fairly well-demonstrated fact about COVID-19 and lockdowns is that the more severe restrictions tend to have smaller marginal benefits once enactedpic.twitter.com/IVMAT3g3YV
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In other words, when we talk about 'hard' vs other lockdowns, the language often doesn't match the evidence. There's no strong reason to believe that adding small extra limits on behavior will have a large impact on the spread of COVID-19
This is not to say that further restrictions will not do anything, but it is worth remembering that adding more restrictions on top of stay-at-home orders and the like may not actually impact infection numbers all that much
It does clarify what stay at home means (and limits the amount of friends/family you might exercise/coffee/interact with for the 80-85% who follow the rules fairly diligently). Definite diff in melb when we went from 5km to 20km)
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