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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      4/ But that's only the beginning of the problems. The big concern for me, as someone who has worked in Indigenous communities all over Australia, is what happens when we get an outbreak in one. I wrote about what will happen at the beginning of March 2020:https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/12/mayhem-looms-just-around-the-corner-diary-from-the-frontline-of-the-coronavirus-health-crisis …

      1 reply 168 retweets 539 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      5/ \...\We got lucky in March 2020. Jacinda closed the NZ borders, Aus state premiers made it clear they weren't having a bar of circulating Covid and the Feds had to follow suit and close our borders as well, so we ended up with #CovidZero, more or less by default.

      1 reply 118 retweets 549 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      6/ That means the terrible things I listed in that article thankfully never came to pass. But we are now facing them again. Let me summarise them for you: mass infection in the world's most vulnerable people in some of the world's remotest areas, leading to mass trauma and death.

      3 replies 117 retweets 509 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      7/ The scenes we are now seeing in Indonesia, with hospitals running out of oxygen and scenes of mass death, are no longer unthinkable in Australia.

      3 replies 128 retweets 525 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      8/ If they occur, they will quite possibly occur first in remote regions, and all of a sudden the term,"tyranny of distance", will take on a meaning unknown since the advent of modern communications and air transport.

      1 reply 106 retweets 475 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      9/ Transferring a SINGLE ventilated patient or, worse, a patient on non-invasive ventilation, feels like a logistic Olympics at the best of times.

      1 reply 92 retweets 460 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      10/ Scale that up ten or twenty or thirty times, add in Covid precautions, halve the transport capacity, then knock that transport capacity out at random and we will see scenes...

      1 reply 88 retweets 434 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler Retweeted Mohamed-Dhia Hammami - محمد ضياء الهمامي

      11/ ...like this heart-rending scene of a Tunisian doctor crying because his hospital has run out of oxygen:https://twitter.com/MedDhiaH/status/1416799972557824000 …

      Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler added,

      0:40
      Mohamed-Dhia Hammami - محمد ضياء الهمامي @MedDhiaH
      The director of the local public hospital of Mateur (NW of #Tunisia) is literally crying. They're running out of oxygen. There is a nationwide shortage of medical oxygen. The reserves of many hospitals can barely cover the next hours. pic.twitter.com/bnplRg6Fme
      Show this thread
      7 replies 153 retweets 526 likes
      Show this thread
    9. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 19

      Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler Retweeted tom solano

      12/ Do you think I'm being alarmist? This is what a senior Australian ICU physician, the guy who is going to be shoving a tube down your neck if push comes to shove, says about that video:https://twitter.com/stuperbug/status/1417102599694610432 …

      Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler added,

      tom solano @stuperbug
      Replying to @YouAreLobbyLud
      This is so distressing-We think this is far away and not going to happen to us- I bet they thought that as well until it hit
      2 replies 123 retweets 543 likes
      Show this thread
    10. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 19
      Replying to @YouAreLobbyLud @GregDore2 and

      What do you think is the most likely outcome once we've reached an 80%+ vaccination rate? Considering that evidence is very strong that this drastically reduces risk of severe outcomes even with Delta and other variants

      10:42 PM - 19 Jul 2021
      • 1 Like
      • jnaus 💙
      4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. luke liao‏ @lukeliao1 Jul 19
          Replying to @GidMK @YouAreLobbyLud and

          If an 80%+ vaccination rate is achieved and restrictive measures are removed, then the outcome is obvious. Exponential growth. The mathematics has been very clear about this for quite a while. Even if vaccine reduces severe outcomes, a small percent of a very large number is big.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. COVID questions‏ @COVID_questions Jul 20
          Replying to @GidMK @YouAreLobbyLud and

          A big concern is what uncontrolled spread does in the unvaccinated (and even the vaxed immunosuppressed/frail etc) Given the trend of cases and hospitalisations in the UK (their fully vaxed + prev infected must be close to if not >80%), Aus should tread *very* cautiously.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler‏ @YouAreLobbyLud Jul 20
          Replying to @GidMK @GregDore2 and

          Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler Retweeted Caroline 😷Dew

          With the current generation of vaccines it is now clear that there are still going to be more than enough adverse outcomes, even at high rates of coverage, to make life very difficult. We need to employ vaccines plus all NPIs to keep R below 1.https://twitter.com/Caro_Dew_/status/1417375225180672000?s=19 …

          Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler added,

          Caroline 😷Dew @Caro_Dew_
          🧵...1/4 My concerns with reaching an 80%+ vaccination rate: 1. At 80%, maybe less, I’m concerned the federal gov will ‘let it rip’. https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1417359171230470144 …
          Show this thread
          0 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
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        1. hasan‏ @hbrule Jul 22
          Replying to @GidMK @YouAreLobbyLud and

          Some places have reached that. It’s not enough.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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