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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 7

      An interesting anniversary is that of all the modelling studies that came out around this time last year suggesting that COVID-19 would stop spreading at 15-30% immunity Turns out they were definitely wrong!pic.twitter.com/ZTcRTC3a0P

      8 replies 32 retweets 132 likes
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    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 7

      Even without more infectious variants, these predictions have turned out to be entirely off, which is always a possibility when you are relying on models with numerous assumptions

      2 replies 4 retweets 43 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 7

      I wonder if all of the people who said that there'd be herd immunity in a month or two this time last year will reflect on their predictions and acknowledge how incorrect they were in hindsight?

      7:09 PM - 7 Jul 2021
      • 17 Retweets
      • 106 Likes
      • Weightology MeerkatinNZ Catlover Mathematiker plädiert für Ruhe und Rationalität Cleber Tumoli First Officer ((Space Laser Force)) Gary Crosby pgcd #BlackLivesMatter Liz "The Mask Goes Over Your Nose AND Mouth" Ditz
      9 replies 17 retweets 106 likes
        1. Eric Carroll  💉 💉 😷‏ @Eric_Carroll Jul 7
          Replying to @GidMK

          Magic 8 ball says...pic.twitter.com/ynYwOJmPkk

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        2. Dr Daya Sharma  😷 🥽 💨 🧼 💉 💉‏ @DrDayaSharma Jul 7
          Replying to @GidMK

          Nope. They are definitely not. They now just want to try to augment vaccination with mass natural infection in children eg the latest Gupta article.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Eric Carroll  💉 💉 😷‏ @Eric_Carroll Jul 7
          Replying to @DrDayaSharma @GidMK

          At what point does this become unethical, if not evil?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. Frank Jacquette‏ @FrankJacquette Jul 7
          Replying to @GidMK

          I eagerly await John Ioannidis' acknowledgement of his incorrect predictions. I would also like a pony.

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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        1. kenlipartito‏ @kenlipartito Jul 7
          Replying to @GidMK

          Our prediction was right. It was the herd they was wrong.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ  🦠 🤧 🧬 🥼 🦟 🧻 🧙‍♂️‏Verified account @MackayIM Jul 7
          Replying to @GidMK

          Haven't they just moved on to ivermectinwonderdrug or bleach or COVID parties or something?

          3 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jul 7
          Replying to @MackayIM

          Not all of them - some have just not returned to their public statements that it'd all be over before the end of 2020

          0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. TEAM AMT‏ @RamblingAMT Jul 8
          Replying to @GidMK

          You know they won't.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. DanDrokz‏ @DanDrokz Jul 8
          Replying to @GidMK

          One should be fair and Not generalize. Which assumptions are you considering. Depends if lockdowns were taken into account or not. One possibility: Lockdowns delay spreading. Delayed spread, delayed herd immunity. Too soon for hindsight to conclude anything.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Pall Melsted‏ @pmelsted Jul 8
          Replying to @GidMK

          Our simulations from a real outbreak in Iceland showed that you would need more than 50% adults fully vaccinated to stop the spread even with social restrictions.https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.11.21258741v1 …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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