An interesting anniversary is that of all the modelling studies that came out around this time last year suggesting that COVID-19 would stop spreading at 15-30% immunity Turns out they were definitely wrong!pic.twitter.com/ZTcRTC3a0P
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Nope. They are definitely not. They now just want to try to augment vaccination with mass natural infection in children eg the latest Gupta article.
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At what point does this become unethical, if not evil?
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I eagerly await John Ioannidis' acknowledgement of his incorrect predictions. I would also like a pony.
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Our prediction was right. It was the herd they was wrong.
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Haven't they just moved on to ivermectinwonderdrug or bleach or COVID parties or something?
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Not all of them - some have just not returned to their public statements that it'd all be over before the end of 2020
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You know they won't.
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One should be fair and Not generalize. Which assumptions are you considering. Depends if lockdowns were taken into account or not. One possibility: Lockdowns delay spreading. Delayed spread, delayed herd immunity. Too soon for hindsight to conclude anything.
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Our simulations from a real outbreak in Iceland showed that you would need more than 50% adults fully vaccinated to stop the spread even with social restrictions.https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.11.21258741v1 …
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