Excellent piece, and indeed a simple fact - the end result of open society without vaccination in kids is that all kids will catch COVID-19https://twitter.com/jeremyfaust/status/1411774802013138947 …
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The timescale of this is hard to pin down, but it's likely to be somewhere between 1-5 years before the vast majority of all non-vaccinated kids have caught COVID-19 at least once
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If herd immunity 85% and that is attained by vaccination in the adult pop'n, then the limit should tend to 0.85 no? And t would be long for this, maybe yrs, by which pt everyone over some age would have made it to be vax eligible as adults. For them the conclusion is not true.
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, the risk of catching COVID-19 at least once for an unvaccinated person