14/n In other words, these are events FOLLOWING vaccination, not events CAUSED BY vaccination The website of the system even says this ~explicitly~pic.twitter.com/reRJm0N2JN
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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14/n In other words, these are events FOLLOWING vaccination, not events CAUSED BY vaccination The website of the system even says this ~explicitly~pic.twitter.com/reRJm0N2JN
15/n So while the Israeli study was an attempt to causally link vaccination with outcomes, the Dutch registry explicitly does not do this The deaths in this system may have nothing to do with the immunizations at all
16/n Using reporting systems like this is a common anti-vaccine trope. We KNOW that many of the events in the reporting system ARE NOT LINKED TO VACCINATION because we investigate them carefully
17/n Because of this, we have two awful, useless numbers being compared to each other. The true rate of deaths CAUSED by vaccines is 100sx lower than this paper calculates, and the number of deaths PREVENTED is 100sx higher
18/n Taking the highest death rate seen caused by a vaccine so far - Astrazeneca - we'd get around 1 death per 500,000 vaccinations Using an NNTV assuming a 30% population prevalence, we'd get 1 life saved per ~500 vaccinations
19/n Now, neither of these metrics are necessarily useful in this way, and people will yell at me for doing this (rightly, it's a bit silly), but EVEN USING THIS FLAWED RUBRIC vaccines save 1,000x more lives than they cost
20/n Anyway, this study is flawed in so many basic ways that it's pretty irretrievable. It should be retracted as soon as possible to avoid further damage
21/n Another note, H/T to @ScottinVictoria - the reviewer comments are pretty astonishing to read. Not even a mention of why NNTV is worthless in this context, and no argument about the manifestly wrong use of adverse event reports https://www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/9/7/693/review_report …
Health Nerd Retweeted 🕷️The wife scientific 🕷️
22/n Also worth pointing out that two members of the editorial board of the journal have resigned so far because of this terrible studyhttps://twitter.com/ProfKatieEwer/status/1409125241142513670?s=20 …
Health Nerd added,
Kyle Sheldrick Retweeted 🕷️The wife scientific 🕷️
Kyle Sheldrick added,
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