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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jun 22

      Health Nerd Retweeted Jordan Raskopoulos

      I am pretty good at statistics and I can confirm that it is blatantly obvious that the furore over transgender athletes has nothing to do with how often they win eventshttps://twitter.com/JordanRasko/status/1407265441953632258 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Jordan RaskopoulosVerified account @JordanRasko
      Look, I'm not great at statistics but if a sports person had a massively unfair advantage over their competitors surely they'd be ranked higher than fourth in their division.
      10 replies 15 retweets 136 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jun 22

      Here's a basic statistical assessment - the risk of a transgender athlete winning unfairly at the Olympics based on previous evidence is precisely equivalent to the risk of a meteor hitting the decathlon event and yet we're not talking about meteors for some reason

      3:12 AM - 22 Jun 2021
      • 13 Retweets
      • 71 Likes
      • Emilia Tjernström giveemwatts Krista Fischer Jodie Humphries Harry Hong Sharon Shasha David Gorski, MD, PhD Fran David #GetADamnShot 😷 Bloomberg 🤨🖖🛎
      12 replies 13 retweets 71 likes
        1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Jun 22

          Apologies, this is incorrect. Technically, the risk of a meteor hitting the decathlon is higher

          4 replies 1 retweet 39 likes
          Show this thread
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        1. Vaishnavi || वैष्णवी‏ @MVaish06 Jun 22
          Replying to @GidMK

          You are amazing, please keep up the good work! I learn so much from you :)

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Mark Boyle‏ @MarkBoy51072146 Jun 22
          Replying to @_neededCitation @GidMK

          3 out of tens of thousands. Big deal.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. JCmacc‏ @JCmacc1 Jun 22
          Replying to @GidMK

          I would estimate the chances of Laurel Hubbard winning gold in the weightlifting is way higher than the chances of a meteor strike (based on personal bests and records) and I don't automatically dismiss the claims of the other athletes that her participation is totally fair.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. James Cole‏ @jamesrcole Jun 22
          Replying to @GidMK

          What’s the sample size? How many such athletes have competed in the Olympics so far?

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Dan Babs‏ @DanDbab Jun 22
          Replying to @GidMK

          The 'furore' isn't just alarmism about the frequency going up or down though. Each time it happens, there's obvious questions about the fairness around it, which is what's happening now. There's nothing illogical about that as far as I can see.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Dan Babs‏ @DanDbab Jun 22
          Replying to @DanDbab @GidMK

          Even if it happens 3 times in all of history, the same questions, opinions, indignations (either way) etc apply to each of those times. I don't have a position but can't say I'm getting this take. I don't think it's a non-issue or just 'hateful nonsense'.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Beth Warren‏ @BethRWarren Jun 22
          Replying to @GidMK

          Pretty sure the statistical likelihood of a 43-year-old female qualifying for the Olympics in weightlifting is also vanishingly small. I wonder how Hubbard managed it…

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Show replies

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