Here's a basic statistical assessment - the risk of a transgender athlete winning unfairly at the Olympics based on previous evidence is precisely equivalent to the risk of a meteor hitting the decathlon event and yet we're not talking about meteors for some reason
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Apologies, this is incorrect. Technically, the risk of a meteor hitting the decathlon is higher
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Make the case using statistics?
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A chat with
@Scienceofsport might be interesting if you’ve got some evidence/analysis. -
I mean, a transgender athlete has never competed at the Olympics so it's not a particularly tough comparison based on past evidence
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Once is too many.
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You have been invaluable source for many non-experts like me throughout the pandemic but you're wrong here. People aren't against trans rights in saying the women's category in sport needs to be protected. They have rights too and this goes against it. It's deeply unfair.
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Martina Navratilova has spoken on this in the past so the point that it has nothing to do with sport and the implication that it's entirely all transphobia is completely unfair on your part. This was always going to be a predictable label and tactic to shoot down legit concerns.
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We'll see. Do your calcs assume the participation rate stays flat? In many events, a person born as a biological male likely has an advantage controlling for other variables. If historical data isn't representative and transgender participation rate grows, the #'s could change.
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