Also typically Bayesian - a huge fight over priors.
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IMO the 2021 usage of "Bayesian" is mostly equivalent to "bullshitting."
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It’s like when the worst person you know makes a decent point
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You don't have a conspiracy theory without a conspiracy The conspiracy-theory corollary to Occam's razor is: "Don't ascribe to malice that which is explained by incompetence"
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Hanlon's Razor
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Well I think it definitely is a conspiracy theory. People are theorising that people in the Chinese government and the WIV conspired to cover up a lab leak. It's not an impossible, crazy conspiracy theory like flat earth, but it is a conspiracy theory.
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There are so many flavours to the theory as well. Some people think it was deliberately released. Some think it's a natural virus that released through the lab. Others think it's a bioweapon with an accidental release.
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This discussion is very thorough and pretty conclusive. https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/06/15/lab-leak-theory-doesnt-hold-up-covid-china/ … H/t Liam Mannixhttps://twitter.com/liammannix/status/1405034033466068997?s=20 …
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It's doing my head in...
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Or then there’s this nonsense. Which is pure conspiracy theory.
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