Like, the study from that blog had an absolute risk increase of about 1 event per 1000 per decade for going from fully vegetarian to the highest meat intake, but the headlines were "eat meat and you'll get cancer"
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Replying to @GidMK
Well we all know the headlines go for sensationalism. It’s the same as smoking. Risk increases but not everyone who smokes will get lung cancer yet we know the link is a causal one….
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Replying to @LeaMerone
Sure, but smoking causes a huge proportion of lung cancer - even in a worst-case scenario the evidence seems to show that only a pretty tiny % of bowel cancer is caused by red meat (and much of that is probably processed red meat as well)
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Replying to @GidMK
Have a look at some of the molecular pathologies recently published…. It may change your mind.
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Replying to @LeaMerone
I'm confused - how would that change the attributable fraction of cancer? Am I misunderstanding?
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Replying to @GidMK
No but it helps establish a causal rather than associative link. In terms of numbers - I replied to another tweet on that. We need to remember that this research is lagging smoking research so right now numbers attributed may be affected by that & limitations of current knowledge
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Replying to @LeaMerone
Maybe, but my point is that even the highest risks identified in epidemiological studies are waaay lower than smoking ones. Even if we lump red meat in with all processed meat, it's a pretty modest contribution to ill health imo
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Replying to @GidMK @LeaMerone
Like, I reckon you could make almost as convincing an argument about the PAF for cancer caused by potato consumption, but equally I'm not sure that it's such a population health risk
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Replying to @GidMK
Well when you start getting into minutiae everything can be carcinogen
but 18% as a current figure is not small…. https://youtu.be/q3chJN9DCGg i mean thé joking vidéo aside the link between red and processed meat and ça is becoming more solid and more known…1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @LeaMerone
Lol yeh. What's the 18% reference? Most of the studies I can find are more like 8-10% i.e.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8053879/ …
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NVM, found the Australian estimates. It's again interesting, because these are a decade old and subsequent reviews have found lower RRs for the association that would reduce this proportion by a fair bit. Might explain the discrepancy
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