And vaccination numbers significantly lower than what’s presently being delivered
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The more transmissible variant isn't a worst case though. They're prevalent internationally, so would almost surely establish here in these scenarios
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Though agreed, the other assumptions are pretty pessimistic.
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I’m really concerned that they only present worst case. It’s certainly instructive to look at a worst case scenario, but surely you present that against scenarios that are based on contemporary experience?
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I agree wholeheartedly. It looks like the full report might have some nuance, but if your headline figures are absolute worst-case that does not really match reality, it is not good
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335,559 doses in the last week in Victoria. Modelling perfect for a spot on Coronacast with
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they have a vested interest in talking things up.
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