Massive. This implies a population-fatality rate from COVID-19 in Peru of 0.55%, which itself would mean that the infection-fatality rate is probably closer to 1%
https://twitter.com/redouad/status/1399442649623535619 …
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What do you think?? Suspect the over/under is 10 MM. I will take the over. Would be ecstatic if I was wrong on the high side.
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Excess mortality in Mexico up to March 15 was over 466,000 deaths=48.5% excess mortalityl - but here is the thing: Mexico City excess mortality was 88.4%. So, no, I am not surprised about Peru - https://coronavirus.gob.mx/exceso-de-mortalidad-en-mexico/ …
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This is also what I've also understoodhttps://twitter.com/ArielKarlinsky/status/1399426513368399878?s=19 …
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