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Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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Considering how wrong you were last time why aren't you more hesitant making public pronouncements like this?
You were calling people sensationalist for taking the coronavirus seriously or recommending masks. Maybe the next time some people start going against the scientific orthodoxy some humility would be a good idea.
Ah yes, the last time I made a dumb joke was indeed February 2020 


I have no doubt you make dumb jokes all the time. That wasn't what the "last time" was referring to. If the lab leak theory proves correct will you consider retiring from media punditry?
You said "considering how wrong you were last time" about a dumb joke I made 18 months ago that I've acknowledged many times was dumb. It's just insulting and tedious tbh, why even bother?
We are bringing it up because it seems likely that the same cognitive biases that let you down then are influencing your opinion on the lab leak hypothesis
Lol what rubbish. How in the world does my position on influenza vs COVID-19 on February 2nd 2020 relate to my current position on the relative likelihood of a lab leak vs natural origin of the virus?
Three off the top of my head. 1. Being overly trusting of scientific orthodoxy 2. Not giving enough weight to new and emerging evidence. 3. Dismissing theories prematurely that you are concerned may be influenced by racism (this one is understandable.)
I mean, I'd argue those are all untrue, but also I'm not overly concerned with your opinion of me so I might just bid you good day and farewell
What factors do you think led to you being so wrong about the coronavirus in Feb 2020?
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