This is a bizarre take. The evidence has stayed precisely the same - natural origin very likely, lab leak thus far entirely unproven and a very low chance The rest is mostly misconceptions caused by reading only sensationalist headlineshttps://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1397160688284536842 …
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For example, here is a paper by some pre-eminent researchers saying that the lab leak theory should be examined but noting that the WHO has so far classified the idea as "extremely unlikely"https://science.sciencemag.org/content/372/6543/694.1 …
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The problem is that we haven't investigated a lab leak enough to say with any certainty that it is not what happened, but that is ~not the same~ as making it more probable
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Some more excellent reading on the topichttps://twitter.com/MoNscience/status/1397696019933143040?s=19 …
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End of conversation
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Being a cautious pathologist, I quite often say, "I cannot totally exclude the possibility of..." but that does't mean I think it's *likely* - just advice to take it into account with all the other info and keep an eye out for discrepancies.
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They’re only taking the very reasonable stance of requiring irrefutable proof this virus strain didn’t come from a lab, which is easily obtained to their satisfaction.
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Consistent with this notion, here's a paper that suggests that when probability estimates are revised upwards, people intuitively think events are more likely than they are. https://psycnet.apa.org/doiLanding?doi=10.1037%2Fpspa0000058 …
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I understand and appreciate that you’re hear to clear up misconceptions around what scientists are saying, but you should know the media makes these stories to fearmonger over foreign nations our government doesn’t like on purpose. They know what they’re doing.
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We must do our best to make sure a pandemic caused by a lab leak will never again be a possibility let alone a reality.
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