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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Liam Mannix‏Verified account @liammannix May 24

      G'day #ScienceTwitter. Melbourne is heading back into winter. What's the state of the evidence for COVID-19 and seasonality/cold-weather?

      12 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 24
      Replying to @liammannix

      My brief summary: seasonality is probably a thing, determining how much it impacts anything for a novel disease is still a nightmarish headache of uncertainty Thoughts @MackayIM @angie_rasmussen @SaskiaPopescu?

      5:23 PM - 24 May 2021
      • 1 Retweet
      • 38 Likes
      • Alexei Drummond Ritchie Trilnack Misael Hiti de Kretser: AZ all the way! 🐢🦥 Natalia Alvim Defunct Phill DPhil JC Liesbeth G MeerkatinNZ
      9 replies 1 retweet 38 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Liam Mannix‏Verified account @liammannix May 24
          Replying to @GidMK @MackayIM and

          I was just about to text you! Anything you suggest I read?

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 24
          Replying to @liammannix @MackayIM and

          Tbh not my area of expertise! The others might have a better idea of the best evidence here

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 24
          Replying to @GidMK @liammannix and

          Marco Piani Retweeted Marco Piani

          Longish thread that does not add much to your summary, but tries to point out that seasonality does not necessarily mean outside of human control.https://twitter.com/Marco_Piani/status/1388412681447739394?s=20 …

          Marco Piani added,

          Marco Piani @Marco_Piani
          The virus exhibits seasonal effects. There is no denying it. It does not mean it is seasonal, in the sense that there are well-established seasons for a virus that has become endemic and has periodic resurgences. It was (and it still is to some decent degree) a new virus...
          Show this thread
          0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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        2. Dr. Angela Rasmussen‏Verified account @angie_rasmussen May 24
          Replying to @GidMK @liammannix and

          So it may be seasonal in the sense that opportunities for transmission increase in the winter. It's not seasonal the same way as flu, in which ecological components like bird migration factor in.

          3 replies 1 retweet 40 likes
        3. Liam Mannix‏Verified account @liammannix May 24
          Replying to @angie_rasmussen @GidMK and

          Thankyou! Do you have any papers you suggest I look at?

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ  🦠 🤧 🧬 🥼 🦟 🧻 🧙‍♂️‏Verified account @MackayIM May 24
          Replying to @GidMK @liammannix and

          My 2c. Effect of temp and humidity on virus=minor player in spread of a novel virus or virus variant. The greater factor is lack of community immunity & community behaviours. Crowding indoors may happen more (although in our a/c lifestyle in Aus I wonder about extent of this)

          1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
        3. ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ  🦠 🤧 🧬 🥼 🦟 🧻 🧙‍♂️‏Verified account @MackayIM May 24
          Replying to @MackayIM @GidMK and

          And because we're talking about a novel virus, there is no immunity to speak of. Then factor in that there is also no community transmission unless virus escapes from border controls (which actually isn't that common).

          2 replies 0 retweets 18 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Gregory Travis‏ @greg_travis May 24
          Replying to @GidMK @liammannix and

          Australia & South Africa COVID cases/death compared to each country's observed influenza A & B cases over five year average (dashed black line at bottom) Note in particular disconnect in South Africa Data from WHO FluNet, Johns Hopkins, Google Mobilitypic.twitter.com/8FN41Q3Fce

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        2. Ryan Hisner‏ @LongDesertTrain May 24
          Replying to @GidMK @liammannix and

          We have experience with other coronaviruses, and they are extremely seasonal. Covid has so far acted almost exactly as they do. Top graph is the NYT Covid case curve (x3), & bottom graph is from this J Clin Virol. study: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7106380/ …pic.twitter.com/jyJsHgsBdL

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Ryan Hisner‏ @LongDesertTrain May 24
          Replying to @LongDesertTrain @GidMK and

          One of the earliest studies predicting the seasonality of Covid was by @firefoxx66 and @richardneher in March 2020. They were on this early. Most still seem unaware of Covid's marked seasonality, & I fear that will lead to complacency going into fall 2021.https://smw.ch/article/doi/smw.2020.20224 …

          2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        4. Show replies

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