I'm fairly happy to short the "actually, lockdowns were good for people's mental health!" position as better evidence comes out over the next several years.https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1396074337090691079 …
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Replying to @NateSilver538
Suicide =/= mental health. I'd recommend reading some of
@tylerblack32 threads if you're interested in the topic rather than tedious straw men
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I'd recommend reading some authoritative works on the topic, e.g.
@TheLancet seminar. "Aside from past suicide attempts, psychopathology is the most important predictor of suicide and strongly associates with other forms of suicidal behaviour." https://www.sigg.it/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/AIP-suicide-behavior-16-Lancet-SIGG.pdf …1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @IoanaA_Cristea @GidMK and
Hint: there is no good predictor for suicidal behaviour, all have a net positive predictive value below 1%.
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Replying to @tylerblack32 @IoanaA_Cristea and
Ironically, just 2 days ago you retweeted cujpers article about the poor predictive value of known risk generators.
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Replying to @tylerblack32 @GidMK and
There is no need to patronize me, I know the literature.
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Replying to @IoanaA_Cristea @GidMK and
And yet you said something that makes very little sense in the context of Nate Silvers awful conflation of Mental Health to Suicide.
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Replying to @tylerblack32 @GidMK and
Your tactic of constructing a strawman is uninteresting. I assume you will not deny psychopathology is a risk factor? See the quote I posted from the most authoritative review to date. That it has poor predictive value, is another story.
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Replying to @IoanaA_Cristea @GidMK and
I don't see a lot of value belabouring this, but actually
@GidMK was pointing out the straw man and for whatever reason you decided to... Support the straw man? I guess you were just randomly sharing that of all of our absolutely poor predictive RFs, psychopathology is #2.pic.twitter.com/Y0YEUiQSTj
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Replying to @tylerblack32 @GidMK and
Oh yeah I do think people at least researchers should not get information about this from threads, but from actual literature. Nothing personal.
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Sorry are you saying that I'm getting information from a non-literature source? The original tweet was about the JAMA paper on suicide rates in the US
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Replying to @GidMK @tylerblack32 and
No no, I found it funny that a researcher would recommend somebody’s ‘threads’ to get up-to-date on a topic. But I think it was clear.
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