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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

    Health Nerd Retweeted The Sydney Morning Herald

    This piece has one of the weirdest uses of data that I've seen in a long time I think it really shows that Australians are quite keen to get vaccinated! 1/nhttps://twitter.com/smh/status/1394759788718854150 …

    Health Nerd added,

    The Sydney Morning HeraldVerified account @smh
    Exclusive: Almost one-third third of adult Australians say they are unlikely to get vaccinated against COVID-19 in a worrying sign over the nation’s troubled vaccine rollout https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/almost-one-third-of-adult-australians-say-they-re-unlikely-to-get-covid-vaccination-survey-20210518-p57szo.html?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1621370023-1 …
    4:18 PM - 18 May 2021
    • 111 Retweets
    • 237 Likes
    • Cheryl Kate 😷Camybobany.😷 😢It didn’t have to be this way 😢 Emma Jane Phillips 💧Jak YT Waller Lesley Hawes PhD AZx2 Alethea Lim parklanedriving
    4 replies 111 retweets 237 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        2/n The article reports a survey that was run by @smh and @theage talking to adults about whether they were "likely" to be vaccinated "in the months ahead"pic.twitter.com/C5SKDzGWkm

        1 reply 4 retweets 35 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        3/n According to the article, with nearly a third responding that they were unlikely to be vaccinated, there is a serious reason for concern representing an "alarming level of vaccine hesitancy" But do the results show this?pic.twitter.com/rpQWDZlmVg

        1 reply 2 retweets 32 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        4/n In the article, we've first got this bar chart, and indeed the two bottom numbers sum to 29% - nearly a third Except, add up all the percentages here, and they equal 64%. What's going on?pic.twitter.com/aQeMsQh2X6

        2 replies 2 retweets 41 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        5/n Well, the chart says that this excludes people already immunized Further down, we can see a pie chart (shudder) showing that ~36% of people report either being vaccinated or having a booking for one alreadypic.twitter.com/EvUjgfYIKW

        2 replies 4 retweets 47 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        6/n So an alternative headline for this piece could've been "More than two-thirds of Australian adults already vaccinated or planning on getting one soon" In my opinion, that would be an entirely reasonable reading of the data presented

        4 replies 17 retweets 118 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        7/n I also strongly disagree that the people saying that they are unlikely to get vaccinated "in the coming months" is necessarily a sign of vaccine hesitancy at all

        1 reply 2 retweets 55 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        8/n If you look at the REASONS that people give for not thinking they'll get immunized soon, some are legitimate concerns but some are also literally factual reporting based on the current phased rollout in Australiapic.twitter.com/03R3w6B1tH

        4 replies 7 retweets 55 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        9/n It also looks as if a reasonable portion of those waiting for a vaccine are worried about Astrazeneca and thus would rather get Pfizer/Moderna later this year. This is not your traditional vaccine hesitancy!pic.twitter.com/pI1kYuS7sn

        1 reply 7 retweets 73 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        10/n Indeed, if we are to believe the survey results, they are actually very optimistic (if perhaps a touch impossible)! 22% of all adults vaccinated in Aus, with another 13% getting their shots soon, would be a good sign

        1 reply 3 retweets 33 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        11/n I'm not sure the results are entirely possible, sadly. The government reports 3.2m shots so far. Even assuming they're all first doses, and all given to adults that's only 16% of the est 19.7m (19,753,290 per ABS) adults in the countrypic.twitter.com/XdUzCX43PW

        1 reply 3 retweets 30 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        12/n More likely, in my opinion, is that the survey was slightly biased, or that there is a reasonably wide margin of error in the reports

        1 reply 1 retweet 33 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        13/n Regardless, I think it's fair to say that, based on these results, Australians on the whole are very keen to get their COVID-19 shots even if they are thinking of waiting a few months until more Pfizer and Moderna doses are available

        2 replies 10 retweets 60 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 18

        14/n All of this comes with the caveat that I can only look at the data presented in the article, and without detailed info on the survey methodology I cannot say anything with a great deal of certainty

        6 replies 1 retweet 43 likes
        Show this thread
      15. End of conversation

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