Take Brazil as an example - roughly 1 in every 500 people have died of COVID-19, and the outbreak is still continuing It is impossible for the IFR to be <0.2%, and it's likely to be far higher overall
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For context, a PFR of 0.15% means that roughly one in every 670 people have died, 0.2% means 1 in 500 The highest is Hungary, with a PFR of 0.3%, meaning 1 in every 330 people have died of COVID-19 since March 2020
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Here a representation with a slight different choice of parameters. ~22 countries with more than 1,000,000 people and a PFR > 0.15% Also more countries having crossed or about to cross PFR ~0.25%, with deaths mostly accumulated in the last months.pic.twitter.com/b0DDW2bm0Q
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One very minor point - while OWID has the "official" count for Mexico, the public health authority has revised their death numbers up by 60% I believe, so it is probably higher than 0.2% now
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Re: "more than a dozen countries in the world with a population fatality rate (PFR) > 0.15%" Some of the same folks who downplayed the risk anthropogenic climate change, also downplayed the risk of COVID-19. They never learn
Nic Lewis + @WEschenbach: https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1350494269283434497 …pic.twitter.com/iejfkEBD6r
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Re: "Some of the same folks who downplayed the risk anthropogenic climate change, also downplayed the risk of COVID-19." Many of those deniers are ideologically-motivated sociopaths who said the pandemic was over in spring 2020. https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1350097108339142661 … https://archive.is/4Gtfj#selection-567.0-567.146 …pic.twitter.com/mf8OkFI5Rn
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And for many countries this is an undercount, if you consider all-cause mortality. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker … now has 5> 0.3% (noting that they capture only perhaps 1/3rd of countries) all basically within a 1 year period.pic.twitter.com/tH2cUZnyBf
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whatever happened of the BCG vaccinating countries are seeing lower death rates as it may confer some type of protection hypothesis from the early days? Clearly not the case looking at the worst peformers there
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Excellent graph
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Attn: @StevenTDennis Yep, most definitely still a very ugly, very nasty pandemic. :(Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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