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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 11

      Health Nerd Retweeted Mallory Harris

      The risk of COVID-19 for children is quite obviously not zero, anyone who says that is trivially wronghttps://twitter.com/malar0ne/status/1392236006368104448 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Mallory Harris @malar0ne
      Anyway, Jay Bhattacharya was on Fox News again tonight, claimed: *risk of Covid to kids is zero *vaccinating kids is "not good for kids" *doesn't reduce risk of disease to rest of population Nodded along to Lauren Ingraham's insinuation it's a money-making plot by big pharma. pic.twitter.com/mXgutGxTbN
      Show this thread
      15 replies 28 retweets 208 likes
    2. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @GidMK

      Have the GBD proponents ever discussed any risk associated to COVID-19 that is not just the individual risk of death under best treatment? I'm not just talking about "long COVID". I'm thinking about the risk of overwhelming the system, or of more standard long-term consequences

      2 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani

      Not that I'm aware of, no

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
    4. Mallory Harris‏ @malar0ne May 11
      Replying to @GidMK @Marco_Piani

      https://alachuachronicle.com/governor-desantis-roundtable-experts-advocate-for-normal-life-for-young-people/ …pic.twitter.com/ajk0in9DAe

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    5. Ono no Komachi‏ @OnoNoKomachi1 May 11
      Replying to @malar0ne @GidMK @Marco_Piani

      What is Leavitt talking about? Where in the Imperial College report was it claimed COVID-19 had a CFR of 14 %? I recall no such claims being made by anyone that the CFR would look like this, and certainly wasn't used in the models.pic.twitter.com/fXC8Jayuu8

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @OnoNoKomachi1 @malar0ne @GidMK

      The naive CFR (not taking into account any delays) was enormous at the beginning. The point is that the CFR means little given that it depends on how many cases you detect. I do not think the IC team was interesed in that.pic.twitter.com/kj1meeKPrK

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani @OnoNoKomachi1 and

      Here the 100% CFR in Iran!pic.twitter.com/5AO9fOEnWp

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani @OnoNoKomachi1 and

      What is bad of Levitt and others is that they appear to depict the IC team or the WHO as unable to tell apart the CFR and the IFR. Hence all the noise about the WHO reporting ~3% of cases dying, as if the WHO was implying that the IFR was 3%--it was not!

      3 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    9. Ono no Komachi‏ @OnoNoKomachi1 May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani @malar0ne @GidMK

      There was ONE WHO press release that stated "there were almost no asymptomatic cases". This is sometimes used to claim the IFR was thought to be close to 3 %. There is no evidence that any decision was ever made based on that belief.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 11
      Replying to @OnoNoKomachi1 @Marco_Piani @malar0ne

      Similar to the time that a single WHO official said "the seroprevalence in most places studied seems around 10%" and people took this as a global estimate to calculate IFR even though the WHO later clarified that they meant BELOW 10%

      8:38 PM - 11 May 2021
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ono no Komachi‏ @OnoNoKomachi1 May 11
          Replying to @GidMK @Marco_Piani @malar0ne

          There were other WHO reports that estimated CFR around 2 % with a lower IFR. Also papers based on the DP data that used that data to project IFR and CFR that were not far off the mark.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Ono no Komachi‏ @OnoNoKomachi1 May 11
          Replying to @OnoNoKomachi1 @GidMK and

          Like this https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.05.20031773v2 … CFR of 1.1 % and IFR of 0.5 % estimated from the DP - which incidentally was available at the the time Ioannidis wrote his STAT essay - which could have bolstered his case - yet he ignored it for a narrative that the data was "unreliable".pic.twitter.com/Q91w6uPbJA

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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