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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 11

      Health Nerd Retweeted Mallory Harris

      The risk of COVID-19 for children is quite obviously not zero, anyone who says that is trivially wronghttps://twitter.com/malar0ne/status/1392236006368104448 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Mallory Harris @malar0ne
      Anyway, Jay Bhattacharya was on Fox News again tonight, claimed: *risk of Covid to kids is zero *vaccinating kids is "not good for kids" *doesn't reduce risk of disease to rest of population Nodded along to Lauren Ingraham's insinuation it's a money-making plot by big pharma. pic.twitter.com/mXgutGxTbN
      Show this thread
      15 replies 28 retweets 208 likes
    2. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @GidMK

      Have the GBD proponents ever discussed any risk associated to COVID-19 that is not just the individual risk of death under best treatment? I'm not just talking about "long COVID". I'm thinking about the risk of overwhelming the system, or of more standard long-term consequences

      2 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani

      Not that I'm aware of, no

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
    4. Mallory Harris‏ @malar0ne May 11
      Replying to @GidMK @Marco_Piani

      https://alachuachronicle.com/governor-desantis-roundtable-experts-advocate-for-normal-life-for-young-people/ …pic.twitter.com/ajk0in9DAe

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    5. Ono no Komachi‏ @OnoNoKomachi1 May 11
      Replying to @malar0ne @GidMK @Marco_Piani

      What is Leavitt talking about? Where in the Imperial College report was it claimed COVID-19 had a CFR of 14 %? I recall no such claims being made by anyone that the CFR would look like this, and certainly wasn't used in the models.pic.twitter.com/fXC8Jayuu8

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @OnoNoKomachi1 @malar0ne @GidMK

      The naive CFR (not taking into account any delays) was enormous at the beginning. The point is that the CFR means little given that it depends on how many cases you detect. I do not think the IC team was interesed in that.pic.twitter.com/kj1meeKPrK

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani @OnoNoKomachi1 and

      Here the 100% CFR in Iran!pic.twitter.com/5AO9fOEnWp

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani @OnoNoKomachi1 and

      What is bad of Levitt and others is that they appear to depict the IC team or the WHO as unable to tell apart the CFR and the IFR. Hence all the noise about the WHO reporting ~3% of cases dying, as if the WHO was implying that the IFR was 3%--it was not!

      3 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani @OnoNoKomachi1 @malar0ne

      The IC team published their first estimate of the IFR of COVID-19, stratified by age, using data from the Diamond Princess, in early March 2020 They were almost exactly correct at that time

      1 reply 1 retweet 8 likes
    10. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
      Replying to @GidMK @OnoNoKomachi1 @malar0ne

      Yep. That’s what they used for their UK model, which, based on actual conditions, has turned out to be optimistic. They did not even considered actual lockdowns. W just case isolation, quarantine @home, &social distancing, their 2-year estimate is well below the present deaths

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 11
      Replying to @Marco_Piani @OnoNoKomachi1 and

      Yep. I find it bizarre how many people who are supposedly scientists criticize the Imperial modelling without even bothering to read it

      8:05 PM - 11 May 2021
      • 1 Retweet
      • 12 Likes
      • Lance Paddock John Palkovic pandemic of failed leadership Tak Brian J. Gadd MaxDWolf Balgor Atomsk's Sanakan Kevin Bramham: 💙 Keep turning left
      1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Marco Piani‏ @Marco_Piani May 11
          Replying to @GidMK @OnoNoKomachi1 and

          On the other hand, Levitt, with access to the same Diamond Princess data, estimated that COVID-19 would “only” add ~1 month of risk (a factor ~10 less of the do nothing scenario), but *without considering any restrictions or changes in habits*...

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Ono no Komachi‏ @OnoNoKomachi1 May 12
          Replying to @Marco_Piani @GidMK and

          Don't forget the maybe only 10,000 will die because of data from the DP.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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