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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Zoë McLaren, PhD‏ @ZoeMcLaren May 3

      Zoë McLaren, PhD Retweeted The Ferrari Lab

      The question of whether we can reach herd immunity is not one virologists can answer. It's a health policy and health behavior question.https://twitter.com/TheFerrariLab/status/1389321866742018052 …

      Zoë McLaren, PhD added,

      The Ferrari Lab @TheFerrariLab
      Is everybody else’s email blowing up with media requests about “why the US might not reach herd immunity”?
      4 replies 9 retweets 68 likes
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3
      Replying to @ZoeMcLaren

      I'm literally writing a piece about this now which basically says "until the whole world is protected any herd immunity will probably be transient"

      4 replies 5 retweets 35 likes
    3. (((Dorit Reiss)))‏Verified account @doritmi May 3
      Replying to @GidMK @ZoeMcLaren

      I look forward to reading it. One question for me: polio was eliminated in the U.S. in the late 1970s, but world efforts started in late 1980s. So there was herd immunity. I suspect it’s a different disease, different pattern issue, but would like to read an informed analysis.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3
      Replying to @doritmi @ZoeMcLaren

      I think the big difference is that while it's possible a single course of COVID-19 vaccines will prevent disease indefinitely, it's not certain or even necessarily likely, especially with variants continuing to emerge globally

      1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3
      Replying to @GidMK @doritmi @ZoeMcLaren

      So we can probably reach herd immunity in a transient sense, but unless the disease is eradicated (unlikely), there'll still be the possibility of outbreaks even in previously vaccinated populations

      5:44 PM - 3 May 2021
      • 2 Retweets
      • 4 Likes
      • Will Hoenig Bill Dunn Ed MD (((Dorit Reiss)))
      1 reply 2 retweets 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3
          Replying to @GidMK @doritmi @ZoeMcLaren

          But key to this is that the disease is likely to be much less severe in vaccinated people, so while elimination is possible but challenging, high vaccination rates are still the ultimate end-goal

          1 reply 2 retweets 6 likes
        3. Zoë McLaren, PhD‏ @ZoeMcLaren May 3
          Replying to @GidMK @doritmi

          I'm also worried we keep moving the goalposts. Telling people to aim for herd immunity in the US then telling them actually it's not even possible at all? Instead focus on each step. HIT in one country offers LOADS of freedom (look at Israel, UK and soon the US). Worth it.

          1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
        4. Show replies

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