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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3

      Health Nerd Retweeted PaedsHaemDoc

      This is actually bizarre. Thoughts, virologists?https://twitter.com/dr_barrett/status/1389331421223862272 …

      Health Nerd added,

      PaedsHaemDoc @dr_barrett
      Replying to @stuartjdneil @StephenBDugmore and 6 others
      Hi all - Ivor goaded by media has now specified what he thinks he means by viral triggering - it’s not sudden surges - he thinks influenza in the body is dormant and reactivates every season pic.twitter.com/cUu9nySsIp
      23 replies 16 retweets 89 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3

      So the passage appears to be from this 1992 book, which basically proposes a series of theories as to why influenza has persisted as a human infection for so long Not exactly up-to-date virology...pic.twitter.com/En9tDEyYVT

      4 replies 1 retweet 28 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Martin Brodeur‏ @martbrod May 3
      Replying to @GidMK

      Does this mean you don’t believe in seasonality? In general? Or you believe it for flu, but not covid19?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3
      Replying to @martbrod

      It means that I think this theory is both very out of date and not well supported

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Martin Brodeur‏ @martbrod May 3
      Replying to @GidMK

      Ok, so how do you explain or name the phenomenon by which the epidemic curves for covid19 matches for vast regions that are at the same latitude? i.e. northeastern US states, Ontario and Québec. Or the southern states like TX, LA, MS, AL, GA and Florida? How can they all match?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3
      Replying to @martbrod

      As many explanations as there are places, but often the simplest reason is that they don't "match", they just look vaguely similar when plotted on graphs which is not the same thing at all

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3
      Replying to @GidMK @martbrod

      I mean, try plotting, say, Brazil, Zambia, and the Northern Territory in Australia. They're wildly dissimilar, but at very similar latitudes. Or Lithuania vs Ontario vs Kazakhstan vs northern China

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Martin Brodeur‏ @martbrod May 3
      Replying to @GidMK

      There’s a regionality factor because seasonality is based partly on humidity and temperature and these two can vary a lot for the same latitude even on the same continent. That’s why you can’t compare Oregon and NY, but big clusters of states at same latitude are matching

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Martin Brodeur‏ @martbrod May 3
      Replying to @martbrod @GidMK

      Martin Brodeur Retweeted Martin Brodeur

      https://twitter.com/martbrod/status/1380241882698149896 …

      Martin Brodeur added,

      Martin Brodeur @martbrod
      1/4 Seasonality is amazing natural phenomenon! 4 regions of the United States that follow the same curve based mainly on latitude. #1 is the most southern states where it's mainly over for now, notice the small bump last summer (as predicted by Hope-Simpson for north tropical) pic.twitter.com/WdPOI1bzBC
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 3
      Replying to @martbrod

      Here's a fun activity - I can think of at least a dozen reasons that states which border each other might have visually similar numbers when plotted on the same graph that have nothing to do with seasons. Can you name 5 of them?

      3:29 PM - 3 May 2021
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      1. Show additional replies, including those that may contain offensive content

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