This is one of the reasons that I usually stay away from offering explicit policy opinions. As a scientist, I can give you a pretty good estimate of the impact of COVID-19, but it's up to us as a society to decide what to do about thathttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1388991268580040710 …
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(As for many things, the answer to the question of whether lockdowns caused or prevented deaths appears to be, somewhat unsatisfyingly, "it depends")
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Given what you wrote above, and more than one year in the pandemic, I would expect that you and other experts would by now (and preferably it should have been earlier) been able to answer the question of whether lockdowns would save or cause deaths, so that authorities could...
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... take an informed decision. Or is the point that it was unprecedented and essentially impossible to estimate because too complex?
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Sorry to add another reply, but on this one - so epidemiology has no normative dimension at all? It just does as its told?
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It doesn't depend on perspective though when you consider that scientists don't ultimately want more death.
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At last a nuanced view. There are terrible costs to locking down and terrible costs to not locking down. And, of course, the costs are much more than economic.
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A slightly different but interesting (maybe more interesting) question is whether it is better to lock down earlier or later.
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