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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 24

      The weirdest thing about the whole herd immunity through natural infection argument is that it's never happened ever for any disease long-term so it was always a wild idea for COVID-19

      62 replies 257 retweets 1,480 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 24

      Like, sure, pandemics died out - eventually most diseases became endemic and killed only a small number of people each year But that's definitely what's been bandied about as herd immunity

      9 replies 8 retweets 188 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 24

      Imagine if instead of "herd immunity" the message had been "recurring outbreaks with a slowly diminishing fatality rate until after months/years the number of yearly deaths would get low enough to not bother any more"

      12 replies 39 retweets 309 likes
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    4. ELV Hugo‏ @ELVUgo Apr 24
      Replying to @GidMK

      Except fatality rate was low enough not to bother about from day one, as it turned out. Affected demographics already suffer high mortality, and COVID-19 is a marginal increase largely restricted to those groups.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK Apr 24
      Replying to @ELVUgo

      Untrue. We demonstrated the high fatality rate quite conclusively in our paperhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1 …

      5:23 AM - 24 Apr 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Elias Hasle
      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. ELV Hugo‏ @ELVUgo Apr 24
          Replying to @GidMK

          Thank you for this paper. Happy to concede that COVID-19 IFR is greater than the risk of accidental death. Choosing to relate COVID-19 IFR to the immaterial risk of death by accidents rather than to all cause mortality seems to support my own point though.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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